Cornell University

S. C. Tsiang Macroeconomics Workshop: Niklas Engbom

Thursday, November 15, 2018 at 11:40am to 1:10pm

Uris Hall, 498

Niklas Engbom - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Firm and Worker Dynamics in an Aging Labor Market

Abstract:  I assess the impact of an aging labor force on business dynamism, labor market fluidity and economic growth. The analysis embeds endogenous growth through creative destruction in an equilibrium job ladder model, highlighting feedback between the extent of mismatch in the labor market and incentives to innovate. I calibrate the model to aggregate reallocation rates and show that the theory replicates life cycle firm and worker dynamics in the data. The model implies that labor force aging over the last 30 years in the US explains 40–50 percent of the decline in job and worker reallocation and has reduced annual economic growth by 0.3 percentage points. Using cross-state variation and instrumenting for the incidence of aging using lagged age shares, I find additional empirical support for the prediction of large effects of aging on dynamism and growth.

Event Type

Class/ Workshop

Departments

Economics

Tags

economics, EconSeminar, EconMacro

Hashtag

#CornellEcon

Contact E-Mail

alg5@cornell.edu

Contact Name

Amy Moesch

Contact Phone

607-255-5617

Speaker

Niklas Engbom

Speaker Affiliation

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Open To

Cornell Economics Community (List Serve Members)

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