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Ariel Ortiz-Bobea | Anthropogenic Climate Change Has Slowed Global Agricultural Productivity Growth

Monday, February 15, 2021 at 2:45pm

Virtual Event

Agricultural research has fostered productivity growth, but the historical influence of anthropogenic climate change on that growth has not been quantified. We develop a robust econometric model of weather effects on global agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) and combine this model with counterfactual climate scenarios to evaluate impacts of past climate trends on TFP. Our baseline model indicates that anthropogenic climate change has reduced global agricultural TFP by about 21% since 1961, a slowdown that is equivalent to losing the last 7 years of productivity growth. The effect is substantially more severe (a reduction of ~26-34%) in warmer regions such as Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean. We also find that global agriculture has grown more vulnerable to ongoing climate change.

Ariel Ortiz-Bobea (Dyson School, Cornell University) will present in the
2021 Perspectives on the Climate Change Challenge Seminar Series:

  • Most Mondays, Spring Semester 2021, 2:45-4:00pm
  • Available as a Zoom Webinar
     

This university-wide seminar series is open to the public, and provides important views on the critical issue of climate change, drawing from many perspectives and disciplines. Experts from Cornell University and beyond present an overview of the science of climate change and climate change models, the implications for agriculture, ecosystems, and food systems, and provide important economic, ethical, and policy insights on the issue. The seminar is being organized and sponsored by the Department of Biological and Environmental Engineering and the Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability.

Streaming site:

https://cornell.zoom.us/j/99794386390?pwd=Qzk1Sm9kMmxId0NyNnVlR0hSbnRJdz09

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Event Type

Seminar

Departments

Atkinson Center for a Sustainable Future, Biological and Environmental Engineering, Sustainability

Website

https://www.atkinson.cornell.edu/even...

Hashtag

#ClimateChange

Contact E-Mail

peter.hess@cornell.edu

Contact Name

Peter Hess

Speaker

Ariel Oritz-Bobea

Speaker Affiliation

Dyson School, Cornell University

Dept. Web Site

https://atkinson.cornell.edu

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