Cornell University

CANCELLED - S. C. Tsiang Macroeconomics Workshop: Alisdair McKay

Thursday, March 22, 2018 at 11:40am to 1:10pm

Uris Hall, 498

Alisdair McKay - Boston University

Housing Wealth Effects: The Long View (joint w/Adam Guren, Emi Nakamura & Jon Steinsson)

Abstract:  We provide new, time-varying estimates of the housing wealth effect back to the 1980s. We exploit systematic differential city-level exposure to regional house price cycles to construct our estimates. Our main findings are that: 1) Large housing wealth effects are not new: we estimate large effects back to the 1980s; 2) There is no evidence that housing wealth effects were particularly large in the 2000s; if anything, they are larger prior to 2000; and 3) We find no evidence of a boom-bust asymmetry that might arise from households hitting their borrowing constraints. We compare these findings with the implications of a “new canonical model'' of housing wealth effects. This model yields large housing wealth effects. It can also explain why housing wealth effects have not risen over time despite the “great leveraging” of households since the 1980s and, in particular, the sharp increase in leverage associated with the 2006-2009 housing bust. 

Event Type

Class/ Workshop

Departments

Economics

Tags

economics, EconSeminar, EconMacro

Hashtag

#CornellEcon

Contact E-Mail

alg5@cornell.edu

Contact Name

Amy Moesch

Contact Phone

607-255-5617

Speaker

Alisdair McKay

Speaker Affiliation

Boston University

Open To

Cornell Economics Community (List Serve Members)

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