Tuesday, May 23, 2017 at 3:30pm
We analyze a variant of the whereabouts search problem, in which a searcher looks for a target hiding in one of n possible locations. Unlike in the classic version, our searcher does not pursue the target by actively moving from one location to the next. Instead, the searcher receives a stream of intelligence about the location of the target. At any time, the searcher can engage the location he thinks contains the target or wait for more intelligence. The searcher incurs costs when he engages the wrong location, based on insufficient intelligence, or waits too long in the hopes of gaining better situational awareness, which allows the target to either execute his plot or disappear. We formulate the searcher's decision as an optimal stopping problem and establish conditions for optimally executing this search-and-interdict mission
Dr. Moshe Kress is Professor of Operations Research at the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS), where he teaches and conducts research in defense and homeland-security areas. Dr. Kress has also been a Visiting Professor at the Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, for the past ten years. His current research interests are counter-insurgency modeling, intelligence operations, and military logistics. His research has been sponsored by DARPA, ONR, and other defense organizations. He is the Military and Homeland Security Editor of the OR flagship journal Operations Research. He published four books - one of which in two editions. His books were translated to Hebrew, Korean and Chinese. Dr. Kress published over 80 papers in refereed journals and was awarded twice the Koopman Prize for military operations research (2005 and 2009) and the 2009 MOR Journal Award. Prior to joining NPS, Dr. Kress was a senior analyst at the Center for Military Analyses in Israel.
For more information please see: http://faculty.nps.edu/mkress/